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Prototype 04 · Forecast Delta Investigator

Know what will land — and what changed the number.

Start with the forecast moving. Decompose the delta into the commercial drivers, confidence and reconciliation behind it, then separate what can still be changed from what simply has to be understood.

New certified forecast run detected

Forecast moved +$1.4M.

The movement is explained by commercial drivers, timing and normalization effects — not by one opaque AI score.

Previous certified forecast $47.2M$48.6MCertifiedRun 08:30 · Fresh
Pipeline & ForecastTell MeAction Center & JITForecast explanation · Synthetic demo
Forecast delta decompositionA forecast moves from forty-seven point two million to forty-eight point six million, with driver currents for stage advancement, regional timing, FX normalization, pipeline hygiene and renewal slippage. Previous certified runCurrent certified run $47.2M $48.6M +1.1Stage advancement3 opportunities +0.6EMEA timingActionable condition +0.3FX normalizationNon-actionable −0.4Pipeline hygiene −0.2Renewal slippage
Driver lens

Forecast movement decomposed

Five supported drivers reconcile to the +$1.4M movement. Select a driver to inspect source, freshness, confidence and whether leadership can still influence it.

Reconciliation: within thresholdEvidence current
Tell Me operates the investigationEvidence-bounded
Ask against the current certified run. Tell Me highlights the actual driver currents rather than returning a detached chatbot answer.
Confidence horizon · same traceable runReconciliation within threshold · Fresh 08:30
P10 $46.8MP50 $48.6MP90 $50.1M
Auto investigation starting

Change an assumption — without changing the official forecast.

Move the EMEA timing assumption. Crenovent recomputes a preview, widens or narrows confidence, and keeps the certified forecast visibly locked.

Current+1d+2d+3d+4d
No preview active$48.6MOfficial forecast remains $48.6M certified.
Forecast delta
Drivers + evidence
Actionable conditions
Governed review
Next certified run
Retained history